Global fossil emissions set to fall 0.4% in 2026
Key Takeaways Fossil projection The Global Carbon Project projects fossil carbon dioxide emissions of 38.2 billion tonnes in 2026, down 0.4% from 2025. The range runs from a 1.5% drop to a 0.6% rise. Oil and coal Oil emissions are projected to fall 1.9% and gas 0.3%. Coal is projected to rise 0.6%. The project ties the oil drop largely to the Iran conflict. Total still rises Adding land use, total carbon dioxide is projected at 43.3 billion tonnes, up from 42.8 billion in 2025. Carbon Brief called that a record. Not a peak Glen Peters of CICERO said a one-year drop is not a peak unless structural change drives it. The 2026 edition is still a preprint. The Global Carbon Project said on Tuesday, Nov. 10, that global fossil emissions in 2026 are projected to fall 0.4%, to 38.2 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide. The range runs from a 1.5% drop to a 0.6% rise, so a small increase is still possible. Total carbon dioxide, including land use, is projected to reach 43.3 billion tonnes. Why global fossil …
